The 2001 11th Annual Psychological World Rankings for
Tennis
Background
In 1991 Dr. Roland A.
Carlstedt created the world's first Psychological Rankings of ATP
tennis professionals. The Psycho-rankings were created to help rank the
psychological performance of professional tennis players more objectively.
They are based on ten psychological categories. Players are rated in terms
of mental performance on these measures using quantitative (e.g., actual
performance statistics) and qualitative (e.g., observation techniques)
methods.
Frequent Questions About the Psycho-World
Rankings
1. How are the
rankings compiled?
Psychological performance
data has been compiled on most ATP top 200 players since 1990 when I first
established a system for analyzing the mental game of tennis players.
Until 1998 I annually attended at least 20 ATP tour events and all Grand
Slam tournaments. I have compiled the largest database on the
psychological performance of professional tennis players. This database
consists of match analyses protocols, videotapes, player interviews,
personal encounters and inside knowledge of numerous players, interviews
with coaches, agents, and journalists, press conference observations, data
provided by numerous tour insiders, and official ATP match statistics and
rankings.
Jim Courier (left), named first number 1 Psycho-World Rankings
leader in 1991, accepts an award from Dr. Roland Carlstedt
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2. Are the rankings
objective?
The psycho-rankings are based for the most
part on qualitative research methods. When studying a “subject” mostly
from a distance, one has to search for clues and information that fits
well operationalized (defined) research criteria. Thus, the rankings are
based on criteria, having both subjective and objective elements.
Objective criteria consists of actual ATP ranking, tournament record,
performance in statistical categories that reflect mental toughness (e.g.,
break points converted), and complete match analyses using a quantitative
and qualitative method to assess psychological performance. In any event
the criteria I have developed to establish a measure of mental toughness
goes well beyond merely making statements or speculating about a
player’s mental toughness.
3. What do the
players think of my rankings?
Once Andreas Mauer, the
coach of Marc-Kevin Goellner confronted me in Estoril about some general
issue. During our conversation he said he was surprised that I ranked
Goellner in the top ten, so he obviously noticed the rankings. Similarly
when Jan Siemerink was # 10 a few years ago, his coach Tjerk Bogstra, used
it to show the Dutch press that there was more to Siemerink’s mental
game than met the eye. Also Michael Stich’s agent was pleased when his
client ranked #1 in the 1993 Psychorankings. Jim Courier actually posed
for a picture and accepted an award for being the first Psycho-#1 in 1991.
Special Considerations in Compiling the Rankings
1. Players are measured and compared against their own potential, not
against other players. Therefore, major psychological improvement in an
individual is heavily weighed in the final analysis.
2. Lower-ranked players on the ATP computer can be ranked higher
psychologically than higher ranked players since the Psycho-rankings
factor out physical and technical skills, rewarding significantly
overcoming physical and technical limitations.
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Former number ones, Pete Sampras and Andre Aggasi
couldn't crack the top ten in this year's rankings
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3. Moreover, top players often have established a very high standard of
psychological toughness against which they are constantly measured. Thus,
if they do not live up to their best level of psychological performance or
mental toughness they can be devalued in the Psychological World Rankings.
4. Players who have overcome physical limitations, made comebacks, learned
proficiently, or accomplished goals despite technical and tactical
limitations have a better chance of being rated higher than players who
are assumed to be the most mentally "tough."
5. The ratio of physical/technical to psychological
performance is calculated on the basis of an elaborate system of
observation containing the criteria below. Data are acquired from actual
matches, off the court observations, scouting reports, and interviews. The
psychological proficiency of a player is derived using a complex system of
point, game, set, and match analysis.
Although it may appear that a ratio skewed in favor
of the psychological side of the game would indicate that a player
possesses more mental toughness this is not necessarily the case. Ideally,
a player would have balance between the physical and mental sides of the
game or a 50:50 ratio. Players with a ratio skewed in favor of the
physical side of the game cannot attain a ranking in the top-10. The ratio
afforded player is only part of the total evaluation. Consequently, a
50:50 could be ranked higher than a 90:10 player or vice versa since other
qualitative factors are also considered. The ratios merely provide a
ballpark rating of one aspect of mental toughness.
Psychological Rankings Categories
- Motor Skills: talent, speed, agility, power,
quickness
- Mental Discipline: work ethic, staying power,
endurance
- Determination: fighting spirit, ability to come
back
- Motivation: the desire to excel, energy level
- Learning Ability: learning new tactics/technique
- Tennis Intelligence: strategic ability, savvy
- Self-Confidence: belief in one's ability
- Emotions: using emotions to one's advantage
- Concentration: focused attention, deep absorption
- Personality Factors
The 2001 Psychological World Rankings - The Men
1. Lleyton Hewitt
Rarely has the actual number 1 in the ATP rankings
occupied the top spot in the Psychological World Rankings. Past ATP number
1 ranked players usually have had the big game but were not really the
mentally toughest of them all. ATP number one players tend to have a
Mental/Physical-Technical Ratio skewed in favor of the latter aspect of
the game, along the lines of 70:30 or 60:40. Players with a dominating
physical game usually rely on their actual game to bolster up their mental
game. In other words, their mental toughness is predicated on their
physical game not the other way around.
This year's Psychological World Rankings leader, Lleyton Hewitt, had
the rare distinction of also being ranked first on the ATP tour.
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In the case of Hewitt we see the consummate mentally
tough player in possession of a 70:30 or even 80:20 ratio in favor of the
mental side. Here we see a player who lives and thrives because of his
mental game. We have seen his mental qualities emerge over the last few
years (see last years rankings below) and grow to new dimensions this past
season. His ability to win against the big boys and play his best tennis
under pressure was amazing this year.
Hewitt’s entire game is built on the premise and
condition that he must be mentally ready or he’ll perish. Like no other
player since Chang and Muster, Hewitt must be at the top of his mental
game all of the time to win. If he lets down for an instance, he’s
always in danger of losing. Preventing this requires optimum preparation,
a constant high level of motivation, and the determination to go the
distance, knowing he’ll have to play long matches until players of
lesser mental stature are worn down and even normally mentally tough
players have succumbed to Hewitt. Combine this with top tennis
intelligence and learning ability and you have a mental champion.
2. Sebastian Grosjean
Grosjean climbs from 8 to 2 in the rankings. Recently
we are seeing the more diminutive players emerging as the mental giants.
Grosjean’s run at the end of this year qualified him for the ATP finals
in Sydney. During the fall stretch he had to win Paris on a medium to fast
indoor surface against some of the biggest guns in tennis. He also had an
incredible opening tournament at the Australian Open, an extension on a
very good 2000 season, in which he also emerged as a top mental player in
my eyes and according to my evaluation system. In fact, his 2000 season
earned him a spot in my 2000 rankings, something a few French journalists
questioned. I don’t think they are questioning anymore.
Grosjean has always been neglected and slighted by
the French Federation and media, mainly because the French used a formula
to predict the success of a player and Grosjean did not fit the profile,
he was thought too small for the modern game, hence no real support or
financial aid was forthcoming despite a very good junior record. Watch out
when you slight a little guy. Think of football’s Doug Flutie, remember
basketball’s Spud Webb or Calvin Murphy, or baseball’s Freddie Patek
or Mike Mussina, who many thought was too small to be a big-time pitcher.
The little guy, especially in today’s tennis really does have to fight
harder. The experience of being slighted along the way also leaves its
impression, it motivates and drives the physically disadvantaged to fight
harder, become faster, and mentally tough. Grosjean is an 80:20 mental
over physical player who did some very impressive and psychologically
tough things in 2001.
3. Tommy Haas
Here we have a physical and technical specimen who
has had a roller-coaster like career. Like many talented players with a
complete big game, Haas has experienced fluctuating motivation and the
desire to taste the sweet life. However, consistent with the ranking
criteria of the Psychological World Rankings, players who make major
positive turnarounds are recognized and rewarded in the rankings.
Haas turned a potentially dismal year into a
photo-finish almost making the final 8 were it not for that pesky
Frenchman Grosjean. Haas’ return to his former coach after becoming
known as the “coach eater” gave him new stability and familiarity with
that old school that helped him get to the top of the tennis world (Bollettieri
Academy).
Goran came back from the dead last year to earn the number 4 spot in
the Psycho World Rankings
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Once a talented player (Haas is a 60:40, 70:30
physical player usually) is focused on the task-at-hand they are dangerous
and tend to feed off their success. Haas’s ability to break his free
fall (yes he likes to parachute) into a potential tennis abyss earns him a
top spot in this year’s rankings, a year in which he had to call on his
mental ability to get back in gear (ending the year at about 65:35 mental
over physical).
4. Goran Ivanisevic
Talk about rising from the dead, Ivanesevic’s
Wimbledon miracle stunned the tennis world. Not only did Goran demonstrate
one of the all-time playing and ranking comebacks in history, he also
demonstrated one of the greatest mental performances ever.
Knowing Goran’s psyche fairly intimately, having
analyzed him numerous times throughout his career, I was as shocked as
most to see him win tennis’ grand prize. Considering he has been playing
with a bum shoulder the last few years it was more remarkable that he
could summon up the mental fortitude to win the tournament he cherished
most, after having lost golden opportunities to do so thrice before.
Normally a 90:10 physical over mental player,
especially on grass, this year he actually used mental prowess to psyche
his way to the title, and at the same time psyche out one opponent after
another.
5. Andy Roddick
Younger players are often extremely confident,
motivated, and seemingly oblivious to the pressure many other and
especially certain older players put upon themselves. Roddick made an
incredible splash on the tennis tour this year going for big shots in
situations where others might have played it safe.
At this point in Roddick’s career he is harmony,
his mind and body are working together. Relative to the psychological
criteria of the Psycho-rankings, Roddick places high in virtually every
category. Notably, his self-confidence stands out, as well as his emotions
and steep learning curve (see ranking categories). It remains to be seen
if the mental qualities he is now exhibiting will hold up in years to
come. It’s relatively easy for a talented newcomer to make the
Psycho-rankings, many have done this before, only to fall into a mental
funk, see Rios, Moya, and even Agassi on and off throughout his career.
Remember, the key to the rankings are exceeding or at
least maintaining top psychological performance. Once you are in the
rankings it’s hard to go up but easy to go down. With Roddick only time
will tell, but I have noticed a small chip in his psycho-armor that he and
his coach should pay attention to (I cannot reveal it now) lest a
potential strength for now become a future liability. Nevertheless, we are
in the now, and this young American 70:30 mental over physical warrior is
a tough psychological opponent.
6. Fabrice Santoro
Here we see another Pozzi like player, an absolute
light weight with a game like no other (perhaps Gene Meyer of erstwhile)
perplexing the big boys time and time again. An extremely psychological
player, Santoro continues to use his guile and tennis intelligence to
figure out how to win when you think all odds are against him. He gets
better with age and still is motivated and enjoys the game. He’s almost
100% mental, although I can’t quantify a ratio without a counter
variable, thus he comes in as a 90-95% to 10% in favor of the mental side.
7. Max Mirnyi
Mirnyi personifies mental toughness, continually
working himself up the professional ladder from a doubles specialist, to
singles qualifier, to Super 8 finalist in about 5 years. Few, including
myself who knew Max well back in the beginning, thought he would reach the
heights he has. A few years ago he never beat a Evegni Mikeev (WHO!!), his
ex-Davis Cup compatriot, barely winning games. Through systematic training
and adhering to a plan designed to take maximum advantage of his size he
set out to learn serve and volley tennis reminiscent of Stefan Edberg, in
this era of the baseliners.
He is to big and oversized players what Rochus,
Grosjean, and Hewitt are to small guys, an absolute role model and source
of inspiration. Mirnyi has a potential 80:20 physical to mental game, but
because he is so mentally tough and psychologically prepared he is
actually one of the most balanced mental to physical players in the game.
He comes into the rankings as a 75:25 to 60:40 in favor of the mental side
of the game.
8. Christophe Rochus
This mighty mouse is unreal. At 5’ 7” (he’s
really 5”51/2) he’s two inches taller than his brother a ranked player
as well. He has to fight for every point. No free shots for him. Rochus
has very good motor skills and timing, utilizing an essentially classical
style of strokes efficiently to counter the artillery of the big guns. He
is extremely tennis intelligent and usually sticks to well thought out
game plans based on percentage tennis, keeping the ball deep, and moving
in when he can to put the volley away. This Belgian stylist continues to
move up the rankings supported by his mental skills and toughness. He’s
a real chess player, competing like the players in the era of the wood
racquet, when tennis was much more a cerebral game. Rochus, like Santoro
comes in with about a 90% to 10% ratio in favor of the psychological side
of the game.
Despite fizzling out at the season's end, Guga earned the number 9
spot
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9. Guestavo Kuerten
Despite fizzling at the end of the year Kuerten is
still a mental force to reckoned with. His French Open performance was
mentally masterful, coming back from match points against Michael Russell
to repeat in Paris. Kuerten is one of the most balanced players on tour
having an equally strong physical and mental game. When down mentally, he
is capable of picking himself up with his arsenal of strokes and good
serve, and vice versa, when his strokes are off, he still finds a way to
win. However, things are getting tougher. That is, it’s getting tougher
to top his stellar mental performance and toughness of the last few years.
Next year will have to be near perfect to remain in the Psycho-top 10 (see
criteria). This 50:50 player who shoots up to 90:10 when all the marbles
are on the line will have to perform his best on other surfaces and slams
besides the French in 2002 to maintain his place among the mental greats.
10. Roger Federer
This Swiss player continues to progress mentally. He
knocked Sampras off at Wimbledon and climbed to an all time high in the
ATP rankings. A player with major weapons, at this point in his career,
his mental qualities are in synch with the physical side of his game but
as previously mentioned, like many a talented player, will have to guard
against getting complacent once he achieves a major goal. This 50:50 ratio
player is still learning and if he is tennis intelligent enough to apply
the lessons learned to the big events consistently next year, expect him
to rise in both the ATP and Psycho-rankings.
Review of Last Year’s Psycho-World Rankings
The 2000 Psycho-world Rankings were the most unique to date. It seems
that more players than ever performed well psychologically despite having
major limitations. We saw a blend of older and smaller players exhibiting
a degree of mental toughness well surpassing that of many of the game’s
top-stars. It should be again emphasized that winning a lot of tournaments
or placing high in the ATP or WTA rankings does not alone qualify one as
being "mentally tough," there is much more to psychological
ability. If there were a one-to-one correspondence between the actual and
psychological rankings we obviously would not need rankings of mental
performance.
Last year's Psycho-rankings contained the fewest number of ATP top-10
players and well known stars ever. These rankings were a testament to the
incredible mental strength those players in the top-10 exhibited
throughout the 2000 season. Interestingly, the rankings were released
before the Australian Open and were very telling, with 8 of 16 men’s
quarterfinalists and 3 of 4 semifinalists being ranked in the Psycho-top
10. That is remarkable considering who would have expected players like
Grossjean, Clement to get as far as they did. Last years rankings
demonstrated the predictive validity and utility of using sound
psychological analyses of players.
2000 Psycho-world Rankings - Men
- Gianluca Pozzi
- Lleyton Hewitt
- Magnus Norman
- Alex Corretja
- Gustavo Kuerten
- Wayne Ferreira
- Arnaud Clement
- Sebastian Grosjean
- Thomas Johannsson
- Ronald Agenor
Dr. Roland A. Carlstedt's Psycho-World-Rankings have been published annually (over 500
appearances) since then and seen in more than 40 countries. Large and
prestigious media including Tennis Week and Inside Tennis (USA), Tennis
Magazin (Germany), Bild Zeitung and Sport Bild (Germany), Tennis Magazine
(Japan), Tennis Italiano, Happy Tennis (Austria), Tennis Australia, Tennis
Plus (Russia) and Tenis Espanol (Spain) have presented the rankings.
TennisONE is pleased to welcome Dr. Roland A. Carlstedt to our family of
contributors. Roland, a Board Certified Sport Psychologist and Tennis Coach
earned his Doctorate (Ph.D.) in Psychology with Honors from Saybrook Graduate
School in San Francisco under the renowned Personality Psychologist and
Behavioral Geneticist Dr. Auke Tellegen of the University of Minnesota. Dr.
Carlstedt's dissertation on neuropsychological processes in highly skilled
athletes (700) from 7 sports including tennis is being nominated for the
Society of Neuroscience's Annual 2002 Lindsley Award for Best Dissertation in
Behavioral Neuroscience. Dr. Carlstedt is listed in the American
Psychological Association's Directory of Experts in Sport Psychology.
He is currently an Assistant Psychologist and Post-doctoral Resident in
Clinical and Neuropsychology and the Chairman of the American Board of Sport
Psychology. Dr. Carlstedt is also available for coaching, consulting, and seminars/speaking engagements and psychotherapy.
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